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Botafogo RJ vs Vasco Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ host Vasco in the Serie A Betano. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Botafogo RJ at 1.48 goals for, 1.45 against; Vasco at 1.3 for, 1.09 against. Head-to-head, Botafogo RJ have won 2 to Vasco's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.56) back Botafogo RJ to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botafogo RJ
30%
Draws
47%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco come out ahead of Botafogo RJ on wins alone.
  • Vasco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 15%
Vasco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Vasco
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Botafogo RJ
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Carioca
Vasco vs Botafogo RJ
2:0
Nov 5, 2025 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Vasco
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Botafogo RJ vs Vasco
1:2
Aug 28, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vasco vs Botafogo RJ
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 10 / 100
Vasco 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vasco conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Botafogo RJ has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Vasco
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Santos 28 11 8 9 43:41 41
8 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)