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Botafogo RJ W vs Perolas Negras W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rita Bova
21' Event
Sassa
65' Event
Sarah

AI Match Summary

The Carioca Women game between Botafogo RJ W and Perolas Negras W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo RJ W
30%
Draws
70%
Perolas Negras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perolas Negras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perolas Negras W come out ahead of Botafogo RJ W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Botafogo RJ W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 16%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ W Perolas Negras W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Carioca Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Perolas Negras W
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Perolas Negras W vs Botafogo RJ W
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Perolas Negras W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rita Bova
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sassa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarah
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naireles
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
Perolas Negras W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ W Perolas Negras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo RJ W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Perolas Negras W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ W VS Perolas Negras W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ W

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
16 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 5
Sao Paulo W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
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Perolas Negras W

(Away)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Flamengo W 7 6 1 0 57:3 19
2 Fluminense W 7 5 1 1 40:4 16
3 Botafogo RJ W 7 4 2 1 55:5 14
4 Vasco W 7 4 1 2 37:10 13
5 Perolas Negras W 7 3 1 3 17:11 10
6 Heips W 7 2 0 5 11:34 6
7 EC Resende W 7 1 0 6 8:78 3
8 Buzios W 7 0 0 7 1:81 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Play Offs)