Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Botafogo SP Logo

Botafogo SP

1 - 2
FT
Athletic Club Logo

Athletic Club

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Gabriel Inocencio
35'
Rafael Gava
35'
Matheus Sales
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Athletic Club in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
85%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo SP haven't matched Athletic Club's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Athletic Club a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Athletic Club have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Athletic Club
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP
2:0
May 12, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Morelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Athletic Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Max
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diogo Batista
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 11 / 100
Athletic Club 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Athletic Club registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Athletic Club
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club

(Away)
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
3 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
10 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
11 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
12 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
13 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)