Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo SP vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Paulo Vitor
28' Event
Everton Morelli
Assist: Hugo J.
46'
Sub
Douglas Teixeira In: William
Out: Douglas Teixeira

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Botafogo SP and Avai finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Botafogo SP
17%
Draws
13%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo SP come out ahead of Avai on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo SP taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Avai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
0:0
Jul 28, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Botafogo SP
5:0
Nov 19, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
1:3
Jul 31, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Botafogo SP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Morelli
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hygor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 77 / 100
Avai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Avai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Botafogo SP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Avai has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Avai
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1657416:1622
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1645715:2017
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287