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Botafogo SP vs Capivariano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Thiago Moraes
46'
Sub
Cassio Gabriel In: Felipe Azevedo
Out: Cassio Gabriel
58'
Carlos Eduardo

AI Match Summary

The Paulista game between Botafogo SP and Capivariano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
51%
Capivariano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo SP haven't matched Capivariano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Botafogo SP a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Botafogo SP here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Capivariano
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.12 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Capivariano
0:1
Apr 10, 2016 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Capivariano
2:0
Mar 11, 2015 Paulista
Capivariano vs Botafogo SP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Capivariano Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Azevedo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 68 / 100
Capivariano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Capivariano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Capivariano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Capivariano conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
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Capivariano

(Away)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)