Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo SP vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Bruno Alves
33'
Jhonata Robert
45'
Waguininho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
85%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Criciuma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 20%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Criciuma
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
0:2
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Waguininho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 32 / 100
Criciuma 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Criciuma conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Criciuma has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Criciuma
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0
Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)