Sport Picks
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto 
Match Events
24'
24'
Bruno Alves
33'
33'
Jhonata Robert
45'
45'
Waguininho
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo SP taking it.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Criciuma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo SP | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
0:2
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Vilar
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer Waguininho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo SP 77 / 100
Criciuma 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo SP Criciuma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Botafogo SP found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Criciuma conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo SP VS Criciuma
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo SP
(Home) 05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0 Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Sport Recife
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0 Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Sport Recife
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
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Criciuma
(Away) 30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0 America MG
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0 Criciuma
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Criciuma
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0 Criciuma
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2 Criciuma
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49:50 | 54 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
