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Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Wesley Dias
45'
Felipe Vieira
46'
Sub
Wesley Dias In: David Miguel
Out: Wesley Dias

AI Match Summary

Cuiaba in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
35%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Cuiaba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba
2:2
Jul 1, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Morelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Cristtyan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 42 / 100
Cuiaba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Botafogo SP found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cuiaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Cuiaba
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0
Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Sport Recife
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
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Cuiaba

(Away)
04 Nov
Cuiaba
3 : 1
Uniao Rondonopolis
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)