Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Wesley Dias
45'
Felipe Vieira
46'
Sub
Wesley Dias In: David Miguel
Out: Wesley Dias

AI Match Summary

Cuiaba in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Botafogo SP
20%
Draws
73%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 13%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Cuiaba
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba
2:2
Jul 1, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Morelli
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Cristtyan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 19 / 100
Cuiaba 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cuiaba conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Botafogo SP went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Cuiaba
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

Cuiaba

(Away)
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
11 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
12 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
13 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)