Sport Picks
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto 
Match Events
6'
6'
Rafael Gava
(Penalty)
24'
24'
Vilar
26'
26'
Danilo Barcelos
AI Match Summary
Botafogo SP in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Botafogo SP have won more games recently than Ponte Preta.
- Model gives Botafogo SP a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Jun 1, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick Brey
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo SP 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo SP Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponte Preta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Botafogo SP remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Botafogo SP scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Ponte Preta lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo SP VS Ponte Preta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo SP
(Home) 05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0 Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Sport Recife
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
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05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0 Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Sport Recife
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
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Ponte Preta
(Away) 30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2 Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1 Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
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30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
