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Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP host Ponte Preta in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Botafogo SP have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Ponte Preta's 0.59 scored and 2.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Botafogo SP have won 1 to Ponte Preta's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward Botafogo SP. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
64%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponte Preta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo SP have won more games recently than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Botafogo SP a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Ponte Preta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 67 / 100
Ponte Preta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Botafogo SP found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Ponte Preta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Ponte Preta
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
11 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
12 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
13 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)