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Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP host Sport Recife in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Sport Recife have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Botafogo SP have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, Botafogo SP have won 0 to Sport Recife's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sport Recife. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
31%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife have won more games recently than Botafogo SP.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo SP's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 18%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Sport Recife
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:3
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife
1:1
May 20, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 40 / 100
Sport Recife 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Sport Recife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo SP found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Sport Recife let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Sport Recife
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

Sport Recife

(Away)
16 Oct
Sport Recife
0 : 2
Fortaleza
11 Oct
Atletico GO
1 : 1
Sport Recife
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 34 18 8 8 48:33 62
2 Novorizontino 34 17 10 7 61:30 61
3 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 34 17 8 9 35:28 59
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 34 15 7 12 51:48 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 34 14 7 13 34:40 49
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 34 11 14 9 32:27 47
12 Sao Bernardo 34 12 10 12 46:37 46
13 Botafogo SP 34 12 8 14 38:38 44
14 Athletic Club 34 10 14 10 40:39 44
15 Nautico 34 11 10 13 39:42 43
16 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
17 Avai 34 10 7 17 33:43 37
18 Londrina 34 8 8 18 43:49 32
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)