Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo vs Palmeira

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Furtado W.
28' Event
Pontes I.
88' Event
Cabral J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Botafogo and Palmeira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Botafogo
15%
Draws
78%
Palmeira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo haven't matched Palmeira's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palmeira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Palmeira have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Botafogo Clean Sheet 18%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo Palmeira
Matches Played 19 35
Wins 3 20
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.89 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Botafogo vs Palmeira
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Botafogo
1:0
Jun 26, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Botafogo vs Palmeira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Palmeira Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabral J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo 10 / 100
Palmeira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo Palmeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo scored in 53% of their last 19 outings.

Palmeira let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Botafogo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo VS Palmeira
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo

(Home)
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
11 May
Botafogo
0 : 3
Boavista da Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Botafogo
1 : 2
Palmeira
Page 1 of 4

Palmeira

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1
SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0
Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)