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Botev Galabovo vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Galabovo play Bistritsa in the Bulgarian Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Galabovo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Bistritsa averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Galabovo won 2, Bistritsa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 4, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Botev Galabovo and 1.18 for Bistritsa. This points to a Botev Galabovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botev Galabovo
6%
Draws
4%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Galabovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistritsa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Botev Galabovo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Botev Galabovo.
  • Cup tournament structure in Bulgarian Cup 2019/2020 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Botev Galabovo Clean Sheet 68%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Galabovo Bistritsa
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2019 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Galabovo vs Bistritsa
2:1
Sep 25, 2018 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Galabovo vs Bistritsa
0:1
May 21, 2017 Vtora liga
Botev Galabovo vs Bistritsa
0:0
Nov 26, 2016 Vtora liga
Bistritsa vs Botev Galabovo
0:0
May 11, 2014 Vtora liga
Bistritsa vs Botev Galabovo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Galabovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadayi E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bistritsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Galabovo 95 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Galabovo Bistritsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Galabovo scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Bistritsa let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Botev Galabovo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bistritsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bistritsa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Botev Galabovo2
Etar1
Chernomorets Balchik0
Bistritsa4
Zagorets0
Slavia Sofia4
Minyor Pernik1
Botev Plovdiv2
Hebar0
Arda2
Gorna0
CSKA Sofia3
Kariana Erden3
Tsarsko Selo0
Dobrudzha0
Botev Vratsa4
Balkan Botevgrad0
Lok. Plovdiv3
FC Lovech3
Montana0
Pomorie0
Beroe2
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
Botev Ihtiman0
Cherno More3
Spartak Varna1
Levski Sofia5
Spartak Pleven3
Septemvri Sofia4
Neftochimic Burgas1
Ludogorets4
1/8-finals
Botev Galabovo2
Bistritsa1
Slavia Sofia1
Botev Plovdiv2
Arda0
CSKA Sofia1
Kariana Erden0
Botev Vratsa4
Lok. Plovdiv2
FC Lovech1
Beroe3
CSKA 1948 Sofia4
Cherno More0
Levski Sofia1
Septemvri Sofia0
Ludogorets3
Quarter-finals
Botev Galabovo0
Botev Plovdiv1
CSKA Sofia2
Botev Vratsa1
Lok. Plovdiv2
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Levski Sofia1
Ludogorets0
Semi-finals
Botev Plovdiv0
CSKA Sofia2
Lok. Plovdiv2
Levski Sofia0
Final
CSKA Sofia0
Lok. Plovdiv1