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Botev Galabovo vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2019/2020
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Galabovo play Hebar in the Vtora liga 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Galabovo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Hebar averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Galabovo won 0, Hebar won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Botev Galabovo and 1.24 for Hebar. This points to a Hebar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Botev Galabovo
17%
Draws
47%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Galabovo picked up more points recently compared to Hebar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Botev Galabovo Clean Sheet 19%
Hebar Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Galabovo Hebar
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 Vtora liga
Botev Galabovo vs Hebar
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Botev Galabovo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Galabovo 36 / 100
Hebar 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Galabovo Hebar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hebar or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botev Galabovo attacking → ← attacking Hebar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Galabovo scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Hebar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Botev Galabovo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hebar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00