Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Botev Ihtiman

3 - 3

Balkan Botevgrad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Botev Ihtiman and Balkan Botevgrad finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Botev Ihtiman

39%

Draws

30%

Balkan Botevgrad

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Botev Ihtiman's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Balkan Botevgrad have produced (1).
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 18%

Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botev Ihtiman	Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	7	9
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

3:3

Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

2:2

Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 32 / 100

Balkan Botevgrad 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botev Ihtiman Balkan Botevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Botev Ihtiman found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Balkan Botevgrad conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Botev Ihtiman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Balkan Botevgrad

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38