Sport Picks
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Botev Ihtiman and Balkan Botevgrad finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Ihtiman carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Ihtiman | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:2
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Ihtiman 31 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Ihtiman Balkan Botevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Ihtiman's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Botev Ihtiman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Balkan Botevgrad has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Botev Ihtiman VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Ihtiman
(Home) 26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 3
Balkan Botevgrad
(Away) 26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
