Sport Picks
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botev Ihtiman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botev Ihtiman average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of CSKA Sofia III's 1.31.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Botev Ihtiman taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Ihtiman | CSKA Sofia III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Botev Ihtiman
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Ihtiman 39 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Ihtiman CSKA Sofia III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
CSKA Sofia III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Botev Ihtiman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Botev Ihtiman VS CSKA Sofia III
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Ihtiman
(Home) 29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0 Bistritsa
16 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 3 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 3
CSKA Sofia III
(Away) 29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0 Strumska Slava
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia III
09 May
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
