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Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Botev Ihtiman and Kostinbrod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Botev Ihtiman
20%
Draws
70%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kostinbrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kostinbrod a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 13%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Kostinbrod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 10 / 100
Kostinbrod 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Botev Ihtiman remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Kostinbrod
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
04 Nov
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Oborishte Panagyurishte
31 Oct
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Belasitsa Petrich
28 Oct
Kyustendil
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
24 Oct
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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