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Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Botev Ihtiman and Kostinbrod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
36%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kostinbrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Kostinbrod
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 31 / 100
Kostinbrod 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Botev Ihtiman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Kostinbrod
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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