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Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Botev Ihtiman have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against Septemvri Simitli's 1.42 scored and 1.16 conceded. Past meetings favor Botev Ihtiman slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring Botev Ihtiman. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
49%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botev Ihtiman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 19%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Ihtiman
0:2
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 32 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Septemvri Simitli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Septemvri Simitli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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