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Botev II vs Spartak Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex, Plovdiv
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev II host Spartak Plovdiv in the Third League - South-East. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Spartak Plovdiv have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Botev II have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Botev II have won 0 to Spartak Plovdiv's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.44) back Spartak Plovdiv to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botev II
30%
Draws
47%
Spartak Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botev II Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev II Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 18
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.14 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Botev II
1:1
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Botev II vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Botev II vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev II 36 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev II Spartak Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Plovdiv has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botev II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Botev II's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botev II VS Spartak Plovdiv
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev II

(Home)
21 Oct
Botev II
0 : 2
Yambol 1915
17 Oct
Botev II
0 : 0
Rozova Dolina
11 Oct
OFC Haskovo
1 : 1
Botev II
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
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Spartak Plovdiv

(Away)
21 Oct
Levski Karlovo
1 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
18 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 2
Arda
10 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Dimitrovgrad
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 11 11 0 0 36:9 33
2 Maritsa Milevo 11 9 0 2 27:12 27
3 Spartak Plovdiv 10 9 0 1 25:11 27
4 OFC Haskovo 11 6 3 2 19:11 21
5 Yambol 1915 11 6 2 3 30:14 20
6 Neftochimic Burgas 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
7 Rodopa Smolyan 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
8 Sozopol 11 5 1 5 22:20 16
9 Gigant Saedinenie 11 5 1 5 20:18 16
10 Rozova Dolina 11 2 7 2 15:16 13
11 Zagorets 11 4 1 6 13:22 13
12 Dimitrovgrad 11 3 2 6 17:19 11
13 Botev II 11 2 5 4 14:18 11
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 11 2 1 8 11:32 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 11 1 3 7 19:32 6
17 Levski Karlovo 11 2 0 9 9:25 6
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)