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Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Cherno More II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Botev Novi Pazar
6%
Draws
90%
Cherno More II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cherno More II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More II taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 15%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Cherno More II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
1:3
Mar 2, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Cherno More II
2:3
Mar 12, 2023 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Botev Novi Pazar
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
Cherno More II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Cherno More II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Cherno More II has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Botev Novi Pazar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Cherno More II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291