Sport Picks
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Chernomorets Balchik finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Botev Novi Pazar haven't matched Chernomorets Balchik's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Chernomorets Balchik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 25 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:0
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:4
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botev Novi Pazar 30 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botev Novi Pazar Chernomorets Balchik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botev Novi Pazar scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Chernomorets Balchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 35% of 31 matches.
Solid form: Botev Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Botev Novi Pazar VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Novi Pazar
(Home) 10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 4
Chernomorets Balchik
(Away) 10 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benkovski | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:29 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | 1 |
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