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Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa 2014 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Novi Pazar host Svetkavitsa 2014 in the Third League - North-East. Little to choose between these two on current form. Botev Novi Pazar have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Svetkavitsa 2014's 1.07 scored and 1.47 conceded. Head-to-head, Botev Novi Pazar have won 1 to Svetkavitsa 2014's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Svetkavitsa 2014 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Botev Novi Pazar
20%
Draws
44%
Svetkavitsa 2014
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svetkavitsa 2014 come out ahead of Botev Novi Pazar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Botev Novi Pazar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 12%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Svetkavitsa 2014
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa 2014
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 38 / 100
Svetkavitsa 2014 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Svetkavitsa 2014

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Novi Pazar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Novi Pazar found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Svetkavitsa 2014 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Botev Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Svetkavitsa 2014
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Novi Pazar

(Home)
21 Oct
Septemvri Dragoevo
0 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

Svetkavitsa 2014

(Away)
17 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
3 : 0
Olympic Varna
10 Oct
Aksakovo
6 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Cherno More II
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
2 Volov Shumen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 Chernomorets Balchik 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
4 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
5 Chernolomets 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Septemvri Tervel 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
7 Benkovski 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Botev Novi Pazar 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
12 FK Riltzi 9 3 1 5 10:20 10
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 9 0 0 9 5:24 0
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