Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Svetkavitsa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botev Novi Pazar
6%
Draws
4%
Svetkavitsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Novi Pazar come out ahead of Svetkavitsa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botev Novi Pazar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 16%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Svetkavitsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 17 29
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Botev Novi Pazar
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa
1:1
Mar 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Botev Novi Pazar
0:3
Apr 1, 2023 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Svetkavitsa
2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 84 / 100
Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Svetkavitsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svetkavitsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Svetkavitsa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Botev Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Svetkavitsa
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291