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Botev Plovdiv vs Arda

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Algarra C.
58' Event
Karagaren B.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Dorgu I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Plovdiv and Arda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botev Plovdiv
6%
Draws
4%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arda haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Arda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Arda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
2:1
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:2
Dec 2, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:0
Aug 4, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Algarra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dorgu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Arda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 85 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Arda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Botev Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Arda
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%