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Botev Plovdiv vs Arda

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Algarra C.
58' Event
Karagaren B.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Dorgu I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Plovdiv and Arda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
37%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arda haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Botev Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 15%
Arda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Arda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
2:3
Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
2:1
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:2
Dec 2, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Plovdiv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Algarra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dorgu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Arda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 41 / 100
Arda 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Botev Plovdiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Arda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Arda

(Away)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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