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Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv play Beroe in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Plovdiv averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Beroe averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 2, Beroe won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Botev Plovdiv and 1.00 for Beroe. This points to a Botev Plovdiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Botev Plovdiv
22%
Draws
29%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv picked up more points recently compared to Beroe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 23%
Beroe Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Beroe
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
1:2
May 14, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 49 / 100
Beroe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Beroe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botev Plovdiv or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botev Plovdiv attacking → ← attacking Beroe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Beroe let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Botev Plovdiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Beroe lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 29
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88