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Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hein B.
57' Event
Tonev D.
59' Event
Kalu S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Botev Plovdiv and Beroe finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Botev Plovdiv
30%
Draws
28%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Plovdiv come out ahead of Beroe on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 16%
Beroe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Beroe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Hein B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tonev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 30 / 100
Beroe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Plovdiv scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Beroe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Botev Plovdiv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Beroe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
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Beroe

(Away)
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
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