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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Videv I.
23' Event
Chandarov A.
(Penalty)
24'
Sub
Algarra C. In: Rodrigues M.
Out: Algarra C.

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
24%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Botev Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Cherno More
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
5:0
May 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 95 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Plovdiv scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Botev Plovdiv has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Cherno More
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
14 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
10 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
21 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)