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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Videv I.
23' Event
Chandarov A.
(Penalty)
24'
Sub
Algarra C. In: Rodrigues M.
Out: Algarra C.

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Botev Plovdiv
15%
Draws
26%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Botev Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Botev Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Cherno More
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
5:0
May 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 95 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Plovdiv scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botev Plovdiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cherno More lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Cherno More
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2
Spartak Varna
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Botev Plovdiv
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
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Cherno More

(Away)
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3
Spartak Varna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Levski Sofia 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
3 CSKA Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
5 Arda 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
6 Botev Plovdiv 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
7 Septemvri Sofia 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
8 Spartak Varna 6 2 1 3 8:12 7
9 Slavia Sofia 5 1 3 1 5:3 6
10 Cherno More 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
11 Botev Vratsa 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
12 Dunav Ruse 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
13 Lok. Plovdiv 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
14 Lok. Sofia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)