Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Plovdiv vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Plovdiv play Etar in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Plovdiv averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Etar averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 3, Etar won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 23, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Botev Plovdiv and 1.25 for Etar. This points to a Botev Plovdiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Botev Plovdiv
20%
Draws
31%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv picked up more points recently compared to Etar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Etar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2024 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Etar
2:0
Dec 7, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
2:4
Aug 27, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Sep 21, 2021 Bulgarian Cup
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 19, 2021 efbet League
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer John E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsanev T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 48 / 100
Etar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Etar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botev Plovdiv or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botev Plovdiv attacking → ← attacking Etar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Etar let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Botev Plovdiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Etar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 37
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38