Sport Picks

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Botev Plovdiv vs Etar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tsanev T.
65' Event
Petrov P.
89' Event
John E.

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Botev Plovdiv
20%
Draws
36%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv have won more games recently than Etar.
  • Botev Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Etar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Plovdiv Etar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Etar
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Etar
2:0
Dec 7, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
2:4
Aug 27, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Sep 21, 2021 Bulgarian Cup
Etar vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer John E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsanev T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Plovdiv 40 / 100
Etar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Plovdiv Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Plovdiv found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Etar let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Botev Plovdiv has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Plovdiv VS Etar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Plovdiv

(Home)
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2
Spartak Varna
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Etar

(Away)
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1
Rilski Sportist
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