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Botev Vratsa vs Beitar Jerusalem

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Vratsa play Beitar Jerusalem in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botev Vratsa averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Beitar Jerusalem averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Botev Vratsa won 0, Beitar Jerusalem won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Botev Vratsa and 1.13 for Beitar Jerusalem. This points to a Beitar Jerusalem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Botev Vratsa
35%
Draws
37%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beitar Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Vratsa picked up more points recently compared to Beitar Jerusalem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 21%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 14 10
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Beitar Jerusalem
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzie T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ansah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 29 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Beitar Jerusalem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beitar Jerusalem or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botev Vratsa attacking → ← attacking Beitar Jerusalem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Beitar Jerusalem let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Botev Vratsa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Beitar Jerusalem lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 61
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13