Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Vratsa vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ntelo M.
Assist: Petkov M.
46'
Sub
Gavrilov S. In: Valbuena Y.
Out: Gavrilov S.
48' Event
Petkov M.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Botev Vratsa and Beroe finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Vratsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Botev Vratsa
20%
Draws
70%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Beroe's 1.36 goals per match outpaces what Botev Vratsa have produced (1.15).
  • Win probability leans Beroe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 13%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Beroe
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Beroe
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Beroe
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Feb 25, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Vratsa vs Beroe
1:0
Dec 4, 2024 efbet League
Beroe vs Botev Vratsa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntelo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Beroe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 10 / 100
Beroe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Beroe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Botev Vratsa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Beroe
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
10 Aug
Botev Vratsa
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
25 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1
Cherno More
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Beroe

(Away)
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
10 Aug
Beroe
2 : 0
Ludogorets II
01 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Beroe
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)