Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Borukov P.
Assist: Smolenski M.
31'
Goranov I.
40'
Sub
Mendes V. In: Kostov B.
Out: Mendes V.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Botev Vratsa and Botev Plovdiv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Vratsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Botev Vratsa
15%
Draws
39%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Plovdiv come out ahead of Botev Vratsa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 11%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Borukov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 35 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Botev Vratsa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Botev Vratsa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Botev Plovdiv lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Botev Plovdiv
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 9 7 2 0 23:6 23
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Botev Plovdiv 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
9 Botev Vratsa 9 2 2 5 7:17 8
10 Septemvri Sofia 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 9 2 0 7 4:12 6
12 Cherno More 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
13 Lok. Sofia 9 0 4 5 10:18 4
14 Dunav Ruse 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)