Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Petkov M.
49'
Zlatev N.
53'
Sub
Zlatev N. In: Lazarov G.
Out: Zlatev N.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Botev Vratsa and Cherno More finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Botev Vratsa
35%
Draws
25%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Vratsa come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Botev Vratsa taking it.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 14%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Cherno More
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More
2:3
Aug 12, 2024 efbet League
Cherno More vs Botev Vratsa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Panayotov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 35 / 100
Cherno More 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Vratsa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Cherno More has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Botev Vratsa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Cherno More
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 9 7 2 0 23:6 23
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Botev Plovdiv 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
9 Botev Vratsa 9 2 2 5 7:17 8
10 Septemvri Sofia 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 9 2 0 7 4:12 6
12 Cherno More 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
13 Lok. Sofia 9 0 4 5 10:18 4
14 Dunav Ruse 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)