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Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Vratsa host Lok. Plovdiv in the efbet League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Botev Vratsa at 1.18 goals for, 1.36 against; Lok. Plovdiv at 1 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor Lok. Plovdiv slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.13) point toward Lok. Plovdiv. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Botev Vratsa
30%
Draws
47%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Plovdiv come out ahead of Botev Vratsa on wins alone.
  • Lok. Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
3:0
May 15, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 20 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Vratsa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Lok. Plovdiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Botev Vratsa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Lok. Plovdiv
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
14 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
10 Oct
Botev Vratsa
0 : 1
Spartak Varna
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
16 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)