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Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Valverde D.
46'
Sub
Ivanov A. In: Ivanov B.
Out: Ivanov A.
58' Event
Hanne B.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Botev Vratsa
35%
Draws
24%
Spartak Varna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botev Vratsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Vratsa have won more games recently than Spartak Varna.
  • Win probability leans Botev Vratsa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Vratsa Spartak Varna
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
0:1
May 2, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
2:1
Dec 4, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
2:0
Aug 1, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Botev Vratsa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botev Vratsa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanne B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Vratsa 95 / 100
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Vratsa Spartak Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Vratsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botev Vratsa scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Spartak Varna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Botev Vratsa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Vratsa VS Spartak Varna
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Vratsa

(Home)
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Varna

(Away)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
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