Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Obed Itani Chilume Stadium, Francistown

Botswana

1 - 1

Mauritania

Our Tip

Match Events

Koita A.

Assist: Yade P.

17'

Amar S. B.

18'

Baruti G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Botswana

15%

Draws

49%

Mauritania

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mauritania come out ahead of Botswana on wins alone.
Win probability leans Mauritania's way, sitting at 50%.
Mauritania arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mauritania, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Mauritania here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Botswana Clean Sheet 23%

Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botswana	Mauritania
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	6	7
Draws	8	10
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.96
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Botswana vs Mauritania

1:1

Sep 7, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania vs Botswana

1:0

Nov 18, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania vs Botswana

2:1

Jun 10, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations

Botswana vs Mauritania

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botswana Compare

Top Goalscorer Baruti G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botswana 24 / 100

Mauritania 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botswana Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Mauritania's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Botswana found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Mauritania let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botswana VS Mauritania

0.5 Goals Scored 0.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botswana

(Home)

31 Mar

Botswana

1 : 0

Malawi

28 Mar

Botswana

0 : 3

Zimbabwe

30 Dec

Botswana

0 : 3

D.R. Congo

27 Dec

Benin

1 : 0

Botswana

23 Dec

Senegal

3 : 0

Botswana

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Mauritania

(Away)

08 Jun

Niger

0 : 1

Mauritania

05 Jun

Angola

1 : 1

Mauritania

27 Mar

Argentina

2 : 1

Mauritania

25 Nov

Mauritania

0 : 2

Kuwait

15 Nov

Libya

1 : 0

Mauritania

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