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Botswana W vs Mauritius W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dithebe K.
45' Event
Ontlametse G.
58' Event
Modise Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Botswana W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Botswana W
30%
Draws
35%
Mauritius W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mauritius W haven't matched Botswana W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Botswana W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Botswana W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botswana W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Botswana W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 68%
Mauritius W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botswana W Mauritius W
Matches Played 39 22
Wins 14 4
Draws 13 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.49 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.92 4.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Botswana W vs Mauritius W
5:0
Aug 3, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
Mauritius W vs Botswana W
0:3
Mar 19, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mauritius W vs Botswana W
0:4
Mar 5, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Botswana W vs Mauritius W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botswana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Modise Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dithebe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Mauritius W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botswana W 95 / 100
Mauritius W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botswana W Mauritius W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botswana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritius W let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Botswana W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Botswana W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botswana W VS Mauritius W
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Botswana W

(Home)
26 Sept
Botswana W
1 : 1
Namibia W
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
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Mauritius W

(Away)
08 Jun
Djibouti W
0 : 1
Mauritius W
04 Jun
Mauritius W
2 : 1
Djibouti W
28 Oct
Mauritius W
0 : 9
Malawi W
26 Oct
Botswana W
5 : 0
Mauritius W
23 Oct
Madagascar W
5 : 1
Mauritius W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namibia W 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Seychelles W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Madagascar W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Comoros W 2 1 0 1 3:8 3
3 Angola W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Lesotho W 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)