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Bouchamma vs Kalaa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Abdeldayem A.
Penalty Missed
80' Event
Khairi M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Bouchamma and Kalaa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouchamma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bouchamma
20%
Draws
33%
Kalaa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bouchamma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bouchamma a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouchamma Kalaa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Kalaa
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Bouchamma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Khairi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kalaa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouchamma 95 / 100
Kalaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouchamma Kalaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bouchamma scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Kalaa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bouchamma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bouchamma VS Kalaa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouchamma

(Home)
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1
Bouchamma
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1
Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6

Kalaa

(Away)
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
Kalaa
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0
Djelma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)