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Bouchamma vs Korba Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Khemir H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Bouchamma and Korba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouchamma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bouchamma
20%
Draws
33%
Korba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Korba have managed 1 goals a game lately — Bouchamma are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Bouchamma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%
Korba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouchamma Korba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Korba
1:0
May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Korba
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Korba vs Bouchamma
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Khemir H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Korba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouchamma 95 / 100
Korba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouchamma Korba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouchamma scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bouchamma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Korba conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bouchamma VS Korba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouchamma

(Home)
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1
Bouchamma
Page 1 of 6

Korba

(Away)
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
22 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 0
Korba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soliman 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Msaken 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sfax Railways 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 EM Mahdia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 BS Bouhajla 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Megrine 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 AS Agareb 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Stade Soussien 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 AS Gabes 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 ES Beni-Khalled 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Sporting Ben Arous 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kerkennah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Chebba 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 US Tataouine 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Kasserine 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Kalaa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 JS Kairouan 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Bouchamma 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Stade Gabesien 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Ariana 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Olympique Kef 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Ksour Essef 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Gafsa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 CO Medenine 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Jendouba Sport 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Korba 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Moknine 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)