Sport Picks
Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef Prediction & H2H Stats
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Khairi M.
47'
47'
Mbarek H.
58'
58'
Messoudi M.
AI Match Summary
Bouchamma in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bouchamma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bouchamma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ksour Essef at 1.45 per game, Bouchamma at 1.31.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Bouchamma taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bouchamma | Ksour Essef |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Bouchamma
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bouchamma Compare
Top Goalscorer Khairi M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Mbarek H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Ksour Essef Compare
Top Goalscorer Messoudi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bouchamma 95 / 100
Ksour Essef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bouchamma Ksour Essef
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bouchamma found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Ksour Essef conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Bouchamma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bouchamma VS Ksour Essef
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bouchamma
(Home) 27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0 Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2 Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1 Bouchamma
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0 Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
29 Mar
Bouchamma
1 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 4
Ksour Essef
(Away) 27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0 Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Olympique Kef
0 : 0 Ksour Essef
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
