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Bougouba vs Bakaridjan

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

1 - 1
FT
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bougouba
30%
Draws
29%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bakaridjan haven't matched Bougouba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bakaridjan a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 22%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Bakaridjan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 24 / 100
Bakaridjan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bakaridjan conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bougouba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Bakaridjan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Bakaridjan

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)