Sport Picks

Mali

Premiere Division

Bougouba

1 - 1

Bakaridjan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Bougouba

28%

Draws

50%

Bakaridjan

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Bakaridjan haven't matched Bougouba's recent run of results.
Model gives Bakaridjan a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Bougouba Clean Sheet 22%

Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bougouba	Bakaridjan
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	10
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division

Bougouba vs Bakaridjan

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Jan 20, 2026 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jun 13, 2025 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Feb 18, 2025 Premiere Division

Bougouba vs Bakaridjan

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 24 / 100

Bakaridjan 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bougouba Bakaridjan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bakaridjan conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bougouba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Bakaridjan

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	59
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	50
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	49
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	44
5	Binga	26	12	7	7	28:15	43
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	42
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	33
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	31
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	29
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	27
11	Foot Elite	26	7	6	13	23:38	27
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	26
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	20
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	16