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Bougouba vs Bakaridjan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bougouba host Bakaridjan in the Premiere Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bougouba at 0.79 goals for, 1.24 against; Bakaridjan at 0.9 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Bakaridjan slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Bakaridjan to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Bougouba
35%
Draws
40%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bakaridjan haven't matched Bougouba's recent run of results.
  • Bakaridjan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 20%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Bakaridjan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 12 / 100
Bakaridjan 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakaridjan has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bougouba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bougouba's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Bakaridjan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
31 Oct
AS Kayes
0 : 0
Bougouba
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
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Bakaridjan

(Away)
01 Nov
Bakaridjan
2 : 1
Foot Elite
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Binga 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Derby Academie 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Bakaridjan 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Stade Malien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Djoliba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Onze Createurs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Bougouba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Diarra 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AS Kayes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CS Bamako 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Korofina 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Foot Elite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Real Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 USFAS Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)