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Bougouba vs Korofina

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

1 - 0
FT
Korofina Logo

Korofina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and Korofina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bougouba
20%
Draws
40%
Korofina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Korofina are scoring more at 1.03.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bougouba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 68%
Korofina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Korofina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bougouba
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bougouba
0:3
Dec 1, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
3:2
Apr 25, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 42 / 100
Korofina 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Korofina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Korofina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bougouba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Korofina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Korofina

(Away)
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0
Korofina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)