Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bougouba vs Korofina

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and Korofina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bougouba
40%
Draws
29%
Korofina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Korofina have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Bougouba are scoring more at 1.13.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bougouba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 68%
Korofina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Korofina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bougouba
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bougouba
0:3
Dec 1, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
3:2
Apr 25, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Korofina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 42 / 100
Korofina 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Korofina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Korofina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bougouba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Korofina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Korofina

(Away)
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0
Korofina
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316
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