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Bougouba vs Real Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

1 - 2
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and Real Bamako finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bougouba
20%
Draws
47%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Real Bamako taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real Bamako have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 22%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba Real Bamako
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Bougouba
4:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Real Bamako
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Bougouba
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Real Bamako
1:0
May 12, 2024 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Real Bamako
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 13 / 100
Real Bamako 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bougouba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Bamako let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS Real Bamako
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Real Bamako

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)