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Bougouba vs US Bougouni

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bougouba and US Bougouni finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Bougouni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bougouba
22%
Draws
18%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bougouba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bougouba a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bougouba US Bougouni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
1:2
Jan 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs US Bougouni
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs US Bougouni
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bougouba 68 / 100
US Bougouni 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bougouba US Bougouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bougouba scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: US Bougouni conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bougouba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bougouba VS US Bougouni
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bougouba

(Home)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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US Bougouni

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)