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Boulogne Billancourt vs PSG II

France France

National 2 - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This National 2 - Group C 2018/2019 encounter between Boulogne Billancourt and PSG II promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Boulogne Billancourt averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. PSG II shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Boulogne Billancourt, 2 wins for PSG II, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.05.19 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.96 for Boulogne Billancourt and 1.13 for PSG II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Boulogne Billancourt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Boulogne Billancourt
15%
Draws
37%
PSG II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boulogne Billancourt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Boulogne Billancourt picked up more points recently compared to PSG II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.96 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Boulogne Billancourt Clean Sheet 21%
PSG II Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Billancourt PSG II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

04.05.19 National 2 - Group C
Boulogne Billancourt vs PSG II
1:2
01.12.18 National 2 - Group C
PSG II vs Boulogne Billancourt
2:3
30.04.16 National 2 - Group A
PSG II vs Boulogne Billancourt
2:1
28.11.15 National 2 - Group A
Boulogne Billancourt vs PSG II
4:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Boulogne Billancourt

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

PSG II

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne Billancourt 47 / 100
PSG II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Billancourt PSG II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boulogne Billancourt or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Boulogne Billancourt 53%
PSG II 30%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Boulogne Billancourt 46%
PSG II 39%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Boulogne Billancourt 48%
PSG II 37%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Boulogne Billancourt 50%
PSG II 35%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Boulogne Billancourt 43%
PSG II 41%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Boulogne Billancourt 55%
PSG II 43%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boulogne Billancourt attacking → ← attacking PSG II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boulogne Billancourt have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

PSG II have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Boulogne Billancourt remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

PSG II suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 25
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nantes II301510545:2455
2Borgo30159657:3554
3Chartres30157850:3852
4Stade Briochin30148853:3350
5Lorient II301211738:2447
6CMS Oissel301251339:3741
7Vannes3010101047:4940
8Mantes301161329:3939
9Poissy301091135:3639
10Granville301081247:5838
11Saint-Malo309101140:4237
12Vitre308121034:4536
13PSG II30891339:4733
14Furiani Agliani30891331:4333
15Boulogne Billancourt30851736:5129
16Le Havre II30781529:4829