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Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Dijon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Platret A.
37' Event
Epailly T.
Assist: Besic B.
56'
Hamada B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Boulogne
20%
Draws
42%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Boulogne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%
Dijon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Dijon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dijon
1:1
May 9, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Boulogne
0:3
Jan 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Dijon
2:2
May 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Boulogne
1:1
Dec 21, 2010 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dijon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Epailly T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dong T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 50 / 100
Dijon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boulogne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Boulogne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Boulogne's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Dijon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
06 Nov
Boulogne
3 : 0
Annecy
30 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Boulogne
26 Oct
Boulogne
1 : 1
Reims
16 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 2
Boulogne
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

Dijon

(Away)
06 Nov
Dijon
1 : 0
Red Star
30 Oct
Grenoble
1 : 3
Dijon
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
16 Oct
Reims
4 : 2
Dijon
12 Oct
Dijon
4 : 2
Metz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 12 9 1 2 25:11 28
2 Nancy 12 8 1 3 17:9 25
3 Montpellier 12 7 3 2 18:9 24
4 Reims 12 5 6 1 24:15 21
5 Pau 12 6 2 4 16:13 20
6 Dijon 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
7 Metz 12 4 5 3 20:19 17
8 Red Star 12 5 2 5 14:17 17
9 Annecy 12 5 1 6 14:18 16
10 Dunkerque 12 4 3 5 17:17 15
11 Guingamp 12 4 2 6 16:18 14
12 Boulogne 12 2 7 3 10:8 13
13 Rodez 12 4 1 7 17:23 13
14 Nantes 12 3 3 6 14:18 12
15 Clermont 12 1 8 3 11:15 11
16 Sochaux 12 2 5 5 8:15 11
17 Grenoble 12 3 2 7 13:22 11
18 Laval 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)