Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boulogne vs Laval

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Clavreul E.
Assist: Sanna S.
45' Event
Clavreul E.
Assist: Tchokounte M.
67'
Sub
Sellouki M. In: Maddy E.
Out: Sellouki M.

AI Match Summary

Laval in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laval.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boulogne
33%
Draws
40%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Laval lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • Model gives Laval a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Laval have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 14%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Laval
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Boulogne
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Laval
1:2
Apr 25, 2022 Ligue 3
Laval vs Boulogne
1:0
Dec 3, 2021 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Laval
1:2
Apr 20, 2021 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Laval
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Clavreul E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 27 / 100
Laval 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boulogne's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Laval conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Boulogne stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Laval
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
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Laval

(Away)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)