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Boulogne vs Rouen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Tchokounte M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Boulogne and Rouen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Boulogne
35%
Draws
50%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Rouen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rouen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 17%
Rouen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boulogne Rouen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Rouen
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Rouen
1:2
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Boulogne
3:1
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Rouen vs Boulogne
1:1
Aug 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Rouen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchokounte M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boulogne 10 / 100
Rouen 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boulogne Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Boulogne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boulogne scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne VS Rouen
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boulogne

(Home)
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
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Rouen

(Away)
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
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