Sport Picks
Bourg Peronnas vs Concarneau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sub
Picouleau M. In: Varvat J.
Out: Picouleau M.
25'
25'
Goujon L.
45'
45'
Ehling T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Concarneau lately — more wins on the board than Bourg Peronnas.
- Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 12%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bourg Peronnas | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Concarneau
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Concarneau
0:2
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Concarneau
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Bourg Peronnas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bourg Peronnas Compare
Top Goalscorer Ehling T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Concarneau Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bourg Peronnas 14 / 100
Concarneau 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bourg Peronnas Concarneau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Concarneau let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Bourg Peronnas found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Bourg Peronnas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bourg Peronnas VS Concarneau
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bourg Peronnas
(Home) 03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1 Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Thionville
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 4
Concarneau
(Away) 03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1 Concarneau
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2 Concarneau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
