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Bourg Peronnas vs Fleury 91 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourg Peronnas host Fleury 91 in the Ligue 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bourg Peronnas have averaged 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Fleury 91's 1.55 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Bourg Peronnas have won 1 to Fleury 91's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.56, favoring Fleury 91. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bourg Peronnas
30%
Draws
58%
Fleury 91
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleury 91 have won more games recently than Bourg Peronnas.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Fleury 91 taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 15%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Fleury 91
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Bourg Peronnas
3:0
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Fleury 91
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Bourg Peronnas vs Fleury 91
0:4
Sep 9, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Fleury 91 vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
Fleury 91 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Fleury 91

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury 91 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bourg Peronnas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bourg Peronnas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS Fleury 91
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
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Fleury 91

(Away)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)