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Bourg Peronnas vs Le Puy-en-Velay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourg Peronnas host Le Puy-en-Velay in the Ligue 3. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Le Puy-en-Velay have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Bourg Peronnas have conceded 1.48 and scored 0.68. Head-to-head, Bourg Peronnas have won 4 to Le Puy-en-Velay's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Le Puy-en-Velay. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Bourg Peronnas
20%
Draws
65%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Le Puy-en-Velay are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bourg Peronnas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 20%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Bourg Peronnas
1:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Bourg Peronnas
1:3
Apr 14, 2023 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:0
Nov 25, 2022 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Bourg Peronnas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 12 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Le Puy-en-Velay conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Bourg Peronnas scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Bourg Peronnas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS Le Puy-en-Velay
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
17 Oct
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Fleury 91
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 7

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
17 Oct
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)