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Bourg Peronnas vs Villefranche Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Marcel V.
22'
Pembele A.
46'
Tshibuabua M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Bourg Peronnas and Villefranche finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourg Peronnas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bourg Peronnas
30%
Draws
23%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourg Peronnas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villefranche's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Bourg Peronnas have produced (0.72).
  • Bourg Peronnas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourg Peronnas Villefranche
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Villefranche
3:2
May 2, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Villefranche
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1
May 2, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Villefranche
0:0
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Bourg Peronnas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourg Peronnas 86 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourg Peronnas Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourg Peronnas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villefranche conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Villefranche registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bourg Peronnas's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bourg Peronnas VS Villefranche
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourg Peronnas

(Home)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)