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Bourges 18 vs Montpellier II

France France

National 2 - Group D 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Bourges 18 in this National 2 - Group D 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bourges 18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bourges 18
30%
Draws
18%
Montpellier II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourges 18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier II haven't matched Bourges 18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bourges 18's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 20%
Montpellier II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourges 18 Montpellier II
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 24 8
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Bourges 18 vs Montpellier II
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Montpellier II vs Bourges 18
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourges 18 67 / 100
Montpellier II 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourges 18 Montpellier II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourges 18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bourges 18 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bourges 18 scored in 71% of their last 45 games.

Defensive concern: Montpellier II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bourges 18 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourges 18

(Home)
22 Aug
Bourges 18
1 : 1
Andrezieux
15 Jul
Clermont
0 : 0
Bourges 18
16 May
Bourges 18
2 : 0
Borgo
09 May
Chantilly
1 : 1
Bourges 18
02 May
Thionville
1 : 4
Bourges 18
Page 1 of 9

Montpellier II

(Away)
28 May
Bergerac
2 : 1
Montpellier II
21 May
Montpellier II
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
14 May
Angers II
1 : 0
Montpellier II
30 Apr
Montpellier II
1 : 3
Le Puy-en-Velay
23 Apr
Bourges 18
2 : 1
Montpellier II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 18 7 5 40:17 61
2 Bergerac 30 17 9 4 38:16 60
3 Bourges 18 30 17 5 8 46:25 56
4 Andrezieux 30 15 6 9 43:30 51
5 Angouleme CFC 30 13 10 7 33:25 49
6 Beziers 30 13 8 9 45:36 47
7 Moulins-Yzeure 30 11 11 8 33:28 44
8 Canet Roussillon 30 14 6 10 35:36 37
9 Les Herbiers 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
10 Trelissac 30 9 8 13 27:34 35
11 Nantes II 30 8 10 12 33:37 34
12 Angers II 30 7 12 11 27:32 33
13 Chamalieres 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
14 Montpellier II 30 8 6 16 33:44 30
15 Colomiers 30 6 9 15 30:46 27
16 Stade Montois 30 1 7 22 24:67 10
Promotion - National 2022/2023 (Main)